JURISDICTION WATCHStrategic Geographic Intelligence
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County · Utah

Davis County

Leading80.0↑ improvingComposite · JPAS56Completeness MediumCounty · Utah

Population 381,227 · Census Bureau Vintage-2025 estimate

Last scored Nov 3, 2026 · Data may be stale

Composite · JPAS tier readings

Power

Power40sourced

Power reads 40 of 100, sourced evidence. Power measures grid capacity, interconnection-queue depth, generation mix, retail price and substation density. Interconnection-queue depth is an estimated roll-up (EST); queue vintage PJM 2026-04-28, CAISO 2025-02-12.

Politics

Regulatory59sourced

Regulatory reads 59 of 100, sourced evidence. Regulatory measures air-quality designation under the Clean Air Act and commercial permitting activity. Regulatory is evidenced by air-quality designation and permitting activity; a county absent from EPA's nonattainment list reads as attainment.

Community57sourced

Community reads 57 of 100, sourced evidence. Community measures enacted moratoria, pending legislation and farmland share as signals of local consent.

Incentives100estimated

Incentives reads 100 of 100, estimated evidence. Incentives measures state program baselines and disclosed awards for data-center and industrial projects.

Resources

Water58sourced

Water reads 58 of 100, sourced evidence. Water measures drinking-water system health, basin stress, streamflow and groundwater conditions.

Real estate / site32sourced

Real estate / site reads 32 of 100, sourced evidence. Real estate / site measures developable land share, convertible sites, substation hosting and permit velocity.

Environmental38sourced

Environmental reads 38 of 100, sourced evidence. Environmental measures FEMA hazard risk across riverine, coastal, wind, wildfire and related perils.

Labor73sourced

Labor reads 73 of 100, sourced evidence. Labor measures electrician depth, wages, unemployment and prevailing-wage floors in the county labor market.

Connectivity

Connectivity is not yet activated as a brief section; the Network tier reading is shown.

Network85sourced

Network reads 85 of 100, sourced evidence. Network measures broadband availability, fiber and middle-mile programs, and exchange-point proximity.

Density · JDS

Density · Minimal · 17 of 100

Data-center density is absent in this county (JDS Minimal, 17 of 100). County grain: computed from facilities, construction and permitted projects resolved to this county.

Trajectory · JTS

  • ModeledJTS-01 Trajectory rate of change — falling — Modeled — covers 2026 Posture-series attributes were computed over an eight-week window that spans Faraday methodology changes; they partly measure recompute churn, not jurisdiction behaviour.
  • SpeculativeJTS-02 Inflection points — falling — Speculative — covers 2026 Posture-series attributes were computed over an eight-week window that spans Faraday methodology changes; they partly measure recompute churn, not jurisdiction behaviour.
  • ModeledJTS-03 Trajectory volatility — falling — Modeled — covers 2026 Posture-series attributes were computed over an eight-week window that spans Faraday methodology changes; they partly measure recompute churn, not jurisdiction behaviour.
  • SpeculativeJTS-04 Momentum — falling — Speculative — covers 2026 Posture-series attributes were computed over an eight-week window that spans Faraday methodology changes; they partly measure recompute churn, not jurisdiction behaviour.
  • SpeculativeJTS-05 Forecast confidence decay — falling — Speculative — covers 2026 Posture-series attributes were computed over an eight-week window that spans Faraday methodology changes; they partly measure recompute churn, not jurisdiction behaviour.
  • ModeledJTS-07 Utility capital investment trend — rising — Modeled — covers 2020–2025

Windows held: 2026 · 2020–2025. Direction and evidence label only; horizons extend only as data lands.

Water & Cooling Readiness

Water System Capacity & Utilization4.0/5 · DirectSRC
Water Service Provider Coverage & Type—DirectSRC
Basin Water Stress Index2/5 · Elevated stressNo dataINF
Regulatory Compliance & Violation History5/5 · Very favorableDirectSRC
Streamflow Condition & Trend2/5 · Elevated stressState-inheritedEST

Water posture inferred from statewide data; no jurisdiction-level water measurement is available.

Gauge data courtesy of the U.S. Geological Survey

Local Moratorium Activity

1 data-center moratorium instrument tracked across municipalities in this county · 1 currently in force

Clearfield

Data: Moratorium Nation (mjbommar) — CC-BY-4.0

How Davis County leans — five dimensions, one composite

JPS Score Breakdown · Jurisdiction Posture Score

Regulatory
4.0
Permitting
3.0
Power Grid
5.0
Community Response
4.0
Incentives
5.0

Infrastructure Map

Faraday's Read

Davis County currently sits in the Cautious tier with a posture score of 25, reflecting a fairly guarded overall stance toward AI data center development, and the recent history shows this figure stems from a scale migration rather than a substantive shift in underlying conditions. The attribute-evidence roll-up shows moderate quality (62.21) and medium completeness (60.83), with environmental, water, network, power, and labor categories each backed by sourced-confidence data across a reasonable number of attributes, suggesting the evidentiary base for those areas is reasonably solid. Incentive and regulatory categories, by contrast, are thin, each represented by only a single attribute at estimated confidence, so any read on the county's incentive or regulatory posture should be treated as tentative at best. Development density and facility data are essentially absent, with no known operational facilities or capacity on record, and the forecast direction is listed as stable but with unscored confidence, meaning little can be said about near-term trajectory. On balance, Davis County's record is moderately developed on physical-infrastructure attributes but remains a thin, cautious-tier jurisdiction on policy and development-track signals.

Gilbert Faraday · Jul 17, 2026

Recent Signals

No signal events in the past 30 days for this jurisdiction.

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