JURISDICTION WATCHStrategic Geographic Intelligence
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County · Utah

Box Elder County

Cautious25.0— → stableComposite · JPAS68Completeness MediumCounty · Utah

Population 65,320 · Census Bureau Vintage-2025 estimate

Last scored Jul 13, 2026 · Data may be stale

Composite · JPAS tier readings

Power

Power66sourced

Power reads 66 of 100, sourced evidence. Power measures grid capacity, interconnection-queue depth, generation mix, retail price and substation density. Interconnection-queue depth is an estimated roll-up (EST); queue vintage PJM 2026-04-28, CAISO 2025-02-12.

Politics

Regulatory86sourced

Regulatory reads 86 of 100, sourced evidence. Regulatory measures air-quality designation under the Clean Air Act and commercial permitting activity. Regulatory is evidenced by air-quality designation and permitting activity; a county absent from EPA's nonattainment list reads as attainment.

Community56sourced

Community reads 56 of 100, sourced evidence. Community measures enacted moratoria, pending legislation and farmland share as signals of local consent.

Incentives100estimated

Incentives reads 100 of 100, estimated evidence. Incentives measures state program baselines and disclosed awards for data-center and industrial projects.

Resources

Water70sourced

Water reads 70 of 100, sourced evidence. Water measures drinking-water system health, basin stress, streamflow and groundwater conditions.

Real estate / site60sourced

Real estate / site reads 60 of 100, sourced evidence. Real estate / site measures developable land share, convertible sites, substation hosting and permit velocity.

Environmental49sourced

Environmental reads 49 of 100, sourced evidence. Environmental measures FEMA hazard risk across riverine, coastal, wind, wildfire and related perils.

Labor71sourced

Labor reads 71 of 100, sourced evidence. Labor measures electrician depth, wages, unemployment and prevailing-wage floors in the county labor market.

Connectivity

Connectivity is not yet activated as a brief section; the Network tier reading is shown.

Network85sourced

Network reads 85 of 100, sourced evidence. Network measures broadband availability, fiber and middle-mile programs, and exchange-point proximity.

Density · JDS

Density · Minimal · 15 of 100

Data-center density is absent in this county (JDS Minimal, 15 of 100). County grain: computed from facilities, construction and permitted projects resolved to this county.

Trajectory · JTS

  • ModeledJTS-01 Trajectory rate of change — rising — Modeled — covers 2026 Posture-series attributes were computed over an eight-week window that spans Faraday methodology changes; they partly measure recompute churn, not jurisdiction behaviour.
  • SpeculativeJTS-02 Inflection points — rising — Speculative — covers 2026 Posture-series attributes were computed over an eight-week window that spans Faraday methodology changes; they partly measure recompute churn, not jurisdiction behaviour.
  • ModeledJTS-03 Trajectory volatility — rising — Modeled — covers 2026 Posture-series attributes were computed over an eight-week window that spans Faraday methodology changes; they partly measure recompute churn, not jurisdiction behaviour.
  • SpeculativeJTS-04 Momentum — rising — Speculative — covers 2026 Posture-series attributes were computed over an eight-week window that spans Faraday methodology changes; they partly measure recompute churn, not jurisdiction behaviour.
  • SpeculativeJTS-05 Forecast confidence decay — rising — Speculative — covers 2026 Posture-series attributes were computed over an eight-week window that spans Faraday methodology changes; they partly measure recompute churn, not jurisdiction behaviour.
  • ModeledJTS-07 Utility capital investment trend — rising — Modeled — covers 2020–2025

Windows held: 2026 · 2020–2025. Direction and evidence label only; horizons extend only as data lands.

Water & Cooling Readiness

Water System Capacity & Utilization4.0/5 · DirectSRC
Water Service Provider Coverage & Type—DirectSRC
Basin Water Stress Index4/5 · FavorableNo dataINF
Regulatory Compliance & Violation History5/5 · Very favorableDirectSRC
Reclaimed / Non-Potable Water Availability—No dataSRC
Streamflow Condition & Trend2/5 · Elevated stressState-inheritedEST

Water posture inferred from statewide data; no jurisdiction-level water measurement is available.

Gauge data courtesy of the U.S. Geological Survey

Local Moratorium Activity

1 data-center moratorium instrument tracked · 1 currently in force

Activeut-box-elder-county-2026 · enacted 2026-06-10

Data: Moratorium Nation (mjbommar) — CC-BY-4.0

How Box Elder County leans — five dimensions, one composite

JPS Score Breakdown · Jurisdiction Posture Score

Per-dimension posture values are not yet published for this jurisdiction.

Infrastructure Map

Faraday's Read

Box Elder County currently sits in the Cautious tier with a Jurisdiction Posture Score of 25, and the development density score is unscored, leaving that dimension of the picture unknown. The attribute evidence base is moderate in quality (65.89) and medium in completeness (59.83), with environmental, labor, network, power, and water attributes each backed by sourced-level confidence across a reasonable number of codes, while incentive-related data rests on only a single estimated-confidence attribute, suggesting that facet of the record is thin. There are no known operational facilities in the county and no tracked megawatts of capacity to date. The forecast direction is listed as stable, though this comes with unscored confidence, so it should be read as a tentative signal rather than a settled outlook. Overall, the data suggests a jurisdiction with solid documentation on environmental and infrastructure fundamentals but limited visibility into incentives and no evidence yet of active data center development.

Gilbert Faraday · Aug 4, 2026

Recent Signals

No signal events in the past 30 days for this jurisdiction.

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