JURISDICTION WATCHStrategic Geographic Intelligence
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County · Texas

Refugio County

Leading87.5— → stableComposite · JPAS75Completeness MediumCounty · Texas

Population 6,657 · Census Bureau Vintage-2025 estimate

Last scored Jul 13, 2026 · Data may be stale

Composite · JPAS tier readings

Power

Power70sourced

Power reads 70 of 100, sourced evidence. Power measures grid capacity, interconnection-queue depth, generation mix, retail price and substation density. Interconnection-queue depth is an estimated roll-up (EST); queue vintage PJM 2026-04-28, CAISO 2025-02-12.

Politics

Regulatory100sourced

Regulatory reads 100 of 100, sourced evidence. Regulatory measures air-quality designation under the Clean Air Act and commercial permitting activity. Regulatory is evidenced by air-quality designation and permitting activity; a county absent from EPA's nonattainment list reads as attainment. Attainment here is by absence of an EPA designation; EPA's county list is complete, so absence reads as attainment.

Community74sourced

Community reads 74 of 100, sourced evidence. Community measures enacted moratoria, pending legislation and farmland share as signals of local consent.

Incentives100estimated

Incentives reads 100 of 100, estimated evidence. Incentives measures state program baselines and disclosed awards for data-center and industrial projects.

Resources

Water52sourced

Water reads 52 of 100, sourced evidence. Water measures drinking-water system health, basin stress, streamflow and groundwater conditions.

Real estate / site75sourced

Real estate / site reads 75 of 100, sourced evidence. Real estate / site measures developable land share, convertible sites, substation hosting and permit velocity.

Environmental58sourced

Environmental reads 58 of 100, sourced evidence. Environmental measures FEMA hazard risk across riverine, coastal, wind, wildfire and related perils.

Labor66sourced

Labor reads 66 of 100, sourced evidence. Labor measures electrician depth, wages, unemployment and prevailing-wage floors in the county labor market.

Connectivity

Connectivity is not yet activated as a brief section; the Network tier reading is shown.

Network93sourced

Network reads 93 of 100, sourced evidence. Network measures broadband availability, fiber and middle-mile programs, and exchange-point proximity.

Density · JDS

Density · Minimal · 17 of 100

Data-center density is absent in this county (JDS Minimal, 17 of 100). County grain: computed from facilities, construction and permitted projects resolved to this county.

Trajectory · JTS

  • ModeledJTS-01 Trajectory rate of change — rising — Modeled — covers 2026 Posture-series attributes were computed over an eight-week window that spans Faraday methodology changes; they partly measure recompute churn, not jurisdiction behaviour.
  • SpeculativeJTS-02 Inflection points — rising — Speculative — covers 2026 Posture-series attributes were computed over an eight-week window that spans Faraday methodology changes; they partly measure recompute churn, not jurisdiction behaviour.
  • ModeledJTS-03 Trajectory volatility — rising — Modeled — covers 2026 Posture-series attributes were computed over an eight-week window that spans Faraday methodology changes; they partly measure recompute churn, not jurisdiction behaviour.
  • SpeculativeJTS-04 Momentum — falling — Speculative — covers 2026 Posture-series attributes were computed over an eight-week window that spans Faraday methodology changes; they partly measure recompute churn, not jurisdiction behaviour.
  • SpeculativeJTS-05 Forecast confidence decay — rising — Speculative — covers 2026 Posture-series attributes were computed over an eight-week window that spans Faraday methodology changes; they partly measure recompute churn, not jurisdiction behaviour.

Windows held: 2026. Direction and evidence label only; horizons extend only as data lands.

Water & Cooling Readiness

Water System Capacity & Utilization2.0/5 · DirectSRC
Water Service Provider Coverage & Type—DirectSRC
Basin Water Stress Index4/5 · FavorableNo dataINF
Regulatory Compliance & Violation History4/5 · FavorableDirectSRC
Streamflow Condition & Trend2/5 · Elevated stressState-inheritedEST
Groundwater Drawdown Trend3/5 · NormalState-inheritedEST

Water posture inferred from statewide data; no jurisdiction-level water measurement is available.

Gauge data courtesy of the U.S. Geological Survey

How Refugio County leans — five dimensions, one composite

JPS Score Breakdown · Jurisdiction Posture Score

Per-dimension posture values are not yet published for this jurisdiction.

Infrastructure Map

Faraday's Read

Refugio County currently sits in the Leading tier with a Jurisdiction Posture Score of 87.5, reflecting a generally favorable overall posture, though the score's recent jump from an earlier 4.5 value stems from a scale migration rather than an actual shift in underlying conditions. The attribute evidence base is rated Good on quality and Medium on completeness, with environmental, power, water, network, and labor categories all showing sourced-level confidence (0.85) across a reasonable spread of attributes, suggesting a fairly solid factual foundation in those areas. Incentives and regulatory attributes, by contrast, are represented by only a single attribute each with estimated-level confidence (0.3), so the data on those fronts should be treated as thin and speculative rather than verified. No data center facilities are currently recorded in the county, and development density (jds) is unscored, meaning there's no evidence yet of built or operational capacity. The posture forecast direction is listed as stable, but this comes with unscored confidence, so it should be read as a tentative signal rather than a firm outlook.

Gilbert Faraday · Jul 17, 2026

Recent Signals

No signal events in the past 30 days for this jurisdiction.

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