JURISDICTION WATCHStrategic Geographic Intelligence
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County · Texas

Live Oak County

Leading87.5— → stableComposite · JPAS73Completeness MediumCounty · Texas

Population 11,929 · Census Bureau Vintage-2025 estimate

Last scored Jul 13, 2026 · Data may be stale

Composite · JPAS tier readings

Power

Power64sourced

Power reads 64 of 100, sourced evidence. Power measures grid capacity, interconnection-queue depth, generation mix, retail price and substation density. Interconnection-queue depth is an estimated roll-up (EST); queue vintage PJM 2026-04-28, CAISO 2025-02-12.

Politics

Regulatory100sourced

Regulatory reads 100 of 100, sourced evidence. Regulatory measures air-quality designation under the Clean Air Act and commercial permitting activity. Regulatory is evidenced by air-quality designation and permitting activity; a county absent from EPA's nonattainment list reads as attainment. Attainment here is by absence of an EPA designation; EPA's county list is complete, so absence reads as attainment.

Community80sourced

Community reads 80 of 100, sourced evidence. Community measures enacted moratoria, pending legislation and farmland share as signals of local consent.

Incentives100estimated

Incentives reads 100 of 100, estimated evidence. Incentives measures state program baselines and disclosed awards for data-center and industrial projects.

Resources

Water68sourced

Water reads 68 of 100, sourced evidence. Water measures drinking-water system health, basin stress, streamflow and groundwater conditions.

Real estate / site38sourced

Real estate / site reads 38 of 100, sourced evidence. Real estate / site measures developable land share, convertible sites, substation hosting and permit velocity.

Environmental56sourced

Environmental reads 56 of 100, sourced evidence. Environmental measures FEMA hazard risk across riverine, coastal, wind, wildfire and related perils.

Labor55sourced

Labor reads 55 of 100, sourced evidence. Labor measures electrician depth, wages, unemployment and prevailing-wage floors in the county labor market.

Connectivity

Connectivity is not yet activated as a brief section; the Network tier reading is shown.

Network94sourced

Network reads 94 of 100, sourced evidence. Network measures broadband availability, fiber and middle-mile programs, and exchange-point proximity.

Density · JDS

Density · Minimal · 9 of 100

Data-center density is absent in this county (JDS Minimal, 9 of 100). County grain: computed from facilities, construction and permitted projects resolved to this county.

Trajectory · JTS

  • ModeledJTS-01 Trajectory rate of change — rising — Modeled — covers 2026 Posture-series attributes were computed over an eight-week window that spans Faraday methodology changes; they partly measure recompute churn, not jurisdiction behaviour.
  • SpeculativeJTS-02 Inflection points — rising — Speculative — covers 2026 Posture-series attributes were computed over an eight-week window that spans Faraday methodology changes; they partly measure recompute churn, not jurisdiction behaviour.
  • ModeledJTS-03 Trajectory volatility — rising — Modeled — covers 2026 Posture-series attributes were computed over an eight-week window that spans Faraday methodology changes; they partly measure recompute churn, not jurisdiction behaviour.
  • SpeculativeJTS-04 Momentum — falling — Speculative — covers 2026 Posture-series attributes were computed over an eight-week window that spans Faraday methodology changes; they partly measure recompute churn, not jurisdiction behaviour.
  • SpeculativeJTS-05 Forecast confidence decay — rising — Speculative — covers 2026 Posture-series attributes were computed over an eight-week window that spans Faraday methodology changes; they partly measure recompute churn, not jurisdiction behaviour.

Windows held: 2026. Direction and evidence label only; horizons extend only as data lands.

Water & Cooling Readiness

Water System Capacity & Utilization3.0/5 · DirectSRC
Water Service Provider Coverage & Type—DirectSRC
Basin Water Stress Index5/5 · Very favorableNo dataINF
Regulatory Compliance & Violation History5/5 · Very favorableDirectSRC
Streamflow Condition & Trend2/5 · Elevated stressState-inheritedEST
Groundwater Drawdown Trend3/5 · NormalState-inheritedEST

Water posture inferred from statewide data; no jurisdiction-level water measurement is available.

Gauge data courtesy of the U.S. Geological Survey

How Live Oak County leans — five dimensions, one composite

JPS Score Breakdown · Jurisdiction Posture Score

Per-dimension posture values are not yet published for this jurisdiction.

Infrastructure Map

Faraday's Read

Live Oak County, Texas currently carries a Leading tier with a Jurisdiction Posture Score of 87.5, placing it among the stronger-rated jurisdictions in the dataset on a composite basis, though no component-level dimension breakdown is available to explain what drives that score. The attribute evidence roll-up shows a "Good" quality band alongside "Medium" completeness, with the most substantive evidence concentrated in environmental, water, network, power, and labor categories, most of which carry a sourced confidence level (0.85). Regulatory and incentive attributes, by contrast, are thin, each represented by only a single attribute at an estimated confidence level (0.3), so any read on local incentives or regulatory posture should be treated as weakly supported rather than verified. Development density (JDS) is unscored, and the jurisdiction reports zero known data center facilities and zero operational megawatts, indicating no built track record yet. The forecast direction is listed as stable, but this comes with an unscored confidence label, so it should be read as a tentative signal rather than a confirmed trend; the score history also reflects a scale-migration recalculation rather than a substantive posture change, meaning the current 87.5 figure is a mathematical transform of an earlier rating rather than new evidence.

Gilbert Faraday · Jul 16, 2026

Recent Signals

No signal events in the past 30 days for this jurisdiction.

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