JURISDICTION WATCHStrategic Geographic Intelligence
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County · Texas

Kendall County

Leading87.5— → stableComposite · JPAS69Completeness MediumCounty · Texas

Population 53,289 · Census Bureau Vintage-2025 estimate

Last scored Jul 13, 2026 · Data may be stale

Composite · JPAS tier readings

Power

Power52sourced

Power reads 52 of 100, sourced evidence. Power measures grid capacity, interconnection-queue depth, generation mix, retail price and substation density. Interconnection-queue depth is an estimated roll-up (EST); queue vintage PJM 2026-04-28, CAISO 2025-02-12.

Politics

Regulatory100sourced

Regulatory reads 100 of 100, sourced evidence. Regulatory measures air-quality designation under the Clean Air Act and commercial permitting activity. Regulatory is evidenced by air-quality designation and permitting activity; a county absent from EPA's nonattainment list reads as attainment. Attainment here is by absence of an EPA designation; EPA's county list is complete, so absence reads as attainment.

Community81sourced

Community reads 81 of 100, sourced evidence. Community measures enacted moratoria, pending legislation and farmland share as signals of local consent.

Incentives100estimated

Incentives reads 100 of 100, estimated evidence. Incentives measures state program baselines and disclosed awards for data-center and industrial projects.

Resources

Water52sourced

Water reads 52 of 100, sourced evidence. Water measures drinking-water system health, basin stress, streamflow and groundwater conditions.

Real estate / site29sourced

Real estate / site reads 29 of 100, sourced evidence. Real estate / site measures developable land share, convertible sites, substation hosting and permit velocity.

Environmental47sourced

Environmental reads 47 of 100, sourced evidence. Environmental measures FEMA hazard risk across riverine, coastal, wind, wildfire and related perils.

Labor78sourced

Labor reads 78 of 100, sourced evidence. Labor measures electrician depth, wages, unemployment and prevailing-wage floors in the county labor market.

Connectivity

Connectivity is not yet activated as a brief section; the Network tier reading is shown.

Network94sourced

Network reads 94 of 100, sourced evidence. Network measures broadband availability, fiber and middle-mile programs, and exchange-point proximity.

Density · JDS

Density · Minimal · 14 of 100

Data-center density is absent in this county (JDS Minimal, 14 of 100). County grain: computed from facilities, construction and permitted projects resolved to this county.

Trajectory · JTS

  • ModeledJTS-01 Trajectory rate of change — rising — Modeled — covers 2026 Posture-series attributes were computed over an eight-week window that spans Faraday methodology changes; they partly measure recompute churn, not jurisdiction behaviour.
  • SpeculativeJTS-02 Inflection points — rising — Speculative — covers 2026 Posture-series attributes were computed over an eight-week window that spans Faraday methodology changes; they partly measure recompute churn, not jurisdiction behaviour.
  • ModeledJTS-03 Trajectory volatility — rising — Modeled — covers 2026 Posture-series attributes were computed over an eight-week window that spans Faraday methodology changes; they partly measure recompute churn, not jurisdiction behaviour.
  • SpeculativeJTS-04 Momentum — falling — Speculative — covers 2026 Posture-series attributes were computed over an eight-week window that spans Faraday methodology changes; they partly measure recompute churn, not jurisdiction behaviour.
  • SpeculativeJTS-05 Forecast confidence decay — rising — Speculative — covers 2026 Posture-series attributes were computed over an eight-week window that spans Faraday methodology changes; they partly measure recompute churn, not jurisdiction behaviour.

Windows held: 2026. Direction and evidence label only; horizons extend only as data lands.

Water & Cooling Readiness

Water System Capacity & Utilization4.0/5 · DirectSRC
Water Service Provider Coverage & Type—DirectSRC
Basin Water Stress Index2/5 · Elevated stressNo dataINF
Regulatory Compliance & Violation History4/5 · FavorableDirectSRC
Streamflow Condition & Trend2/5 · Elevated stressState-inheritedEST
Groundwater Drawdown Trend3/5 · NormalAdjacent-inferredINF

Water posture inferred from statewide data; no jurisdiction-level water measurement is available.

Water posture inferred from nearby jurisdictions' measurements.

Gauge data courtesy of the U.S. Geological Survey

How Kendall County leans — five dimensions, one composite

JPS Score Breakdown · Jurisdiction Posture Score

Per-dimension posture values are not yet published for this jurisdiction.

Infrastructure Map

Faraday's Read

Kendall County, Texas currently carries a Leading tier with a Jurisdiction Posture Score of 87.5, placing it among the stronger-rated jurisdictions in the tracking set, though the score's recent history shows a scale migration rather than a fresh reassessment of underlying conditions. The attribute-evidence picture is moderate in quality (67.41) and medium in completeness (55.33), with environmental, water, network, power, and labor categories each backed by multiple attributes at sourced-level confidence (0.85), suggesting a reasonably substantiated base for site-suitability judgments in those areas. Incentive and regulatory categories, by contrast, rest on single attributes with only estimated confidence (0.3), so those aspects of the record remain thin and should be treated as provisional rather than verified. The county shows no known data center facilities on record and zero associated megawatts, and the posture forecast indicator is stable but unscored, meaning near-term directional confidence is effectively unestablished. Overall, Kendall County appears well-positioned on paper across core infrastructure categories, but the incentive and regulatory gaps, plus the absence of built facilities, mean the Leading tier should be read as an evidence-based signal rather than a confirmed development track record.

Gilbert Faraday · Jul 16, 2026

Recent Signals

No signal events in the past 30 days for this jurisdiction.

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