JURISDICTION WATCHStrategic Geographic Intelligence
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County · Texas

Duval County

Leading87.5— → stableComposite · JPAS72Completeness MediumCounty · Texas

Population 9,402 · Census Bureau Vintage-2025 estimate

Last scored Jul 13, 2026 · Data may be stale

Composite · JPAS tier readings

Power

Power69sourced

Power reads 69 of 100, sourced evidence. Power measures grid capacity, interconnection-queue depth, generation mix, retail price and substation density. Interconnection-queue depth is an estimated roll-up (EST); queue vintage PJM 2026-04-28, CAISO 2025-02-12.

Politics

Regulatory100sourced

Regulatory reads 100 of 100, sourced evidence. Regulatory measures air-quality designation under the Clean Air Act and commercial permitting activity. Regulatory is evidenced by air-quality designation and permitting activity; a county absent from EPA's nonattainment list reads as attainment. Attainment here is by absence of an EPA designation; EPA's county list is complete, so absence reads as attainment.

Community80sourced

Community reads 80 of 100, sourced evidence. Community measures enacted moratoria, pending legislation and farmland share as signals of local consent.

Incentives100estimated

Incentives reads 100 of 100, estimated evidence. Incentives measures state program baselines and disclosed awards for data-center and industrial projects.

Resources

Water43sourced

Water reads 43 of 100, sourced evidence. Water measures drinking-water system health, basin stress, streamflow and groundwater conditions.

Real estate / site53sourced

Real estate / site reads 53 of 100, sourced evidence. Real estate / site measures developable land share, convertible sites, substation hosting and permit velocity.

Environmental44sourced

Environmental reads 44 of 100, sourced evidence. Environmental measures FEMA hazard risk across riverine, coastal, wind, wildfire and related perils.

Labor68sourced

Labor reads 68 of 100, sourced evidence. Labor measures electrician depth, wages, unemployment and prevailing-wage floors in the county labor market.

Connectivity

Connectivity is not yet activated as a brief section; the Network tier reading is shown.

Network93sourced

Network reads 93 of 100, sourced evidence. Network measures broadband availability, fiber and middle-mile programs, and exchange-point proximity.

Density · JDS

Density · Minimal · 11 of 100

Data-center density is absent in this county (JDS Minimal, 11 of 100). County grain: computed from facilities, construction and permitted projects resolved to this county.

Trajectory · JTS

  • ModeledJTS-01 Trajectory rate of change — rising — Modeled — covers 2026 Posture-series attributes were computed over an eight-week window that spans Faraday methodology changes; they partly measure recompute churn, not jurisdiction behaviour.
  • SpeculativeJTS-02 Inflection points — rising — Speculative — covers 2026 Posture-series attributes were computed over an eight-week window that spans Faraday methodology changes; they partly measure recompute churn, not jurisdiction behaviour.
  • ModeledJTS-03 Trajectory volatility — rising — Modeled — covers 2026 Posture-series attributes were computed over an eight-week window that spans Faraday methodology changes; they partly measure recompute churn, not jurisdiction behaviour.
  • SpeculativeJTS-04 Momentum — falling — Speculative — covers 2026 Posture-series attributes were computed over an eight-week window that spans Faraday methodology changes; they partly measure recompute churn, not jurisdiction behaviour.
  • SpeculativeJTS-05 Forecast confidence decay — rising — Speculative — covers 2026 Posture-series attributes were computed over an eight-week window that spans Faraday methodology changes; they partly measure recompute churn, not jurisdiction behaviour.

Windows held: 2026. Direction and evidence label only; horizons extend only as data lands.

Water & Cooling Readiness

Water System Capacity & Utilization3.0/5 · DirectSRC
Water Service Provider Coverage & Type—DirectSRC
Basin Water Stress Index3/5 · NormalNo dataINF
Regulatory Compliance & Violation History3/5 · NormalDirectSRC
Reclaimed / Non-Potable Water Availability—No dataSRC
Streamflow Condition & Trend2/5 · Elevated stressState-inheritedEST
Groundwater Drawdown Trend1/5 · Severe stressDirectSRC

Water posture inferred from statewide data; no jurisdiction-level water measurement is available.

Gauge data courtesy of the U.S. Geological Survey

How Duval County leans — five dimensions, one composite

JPS Score Breakdown · Jurisdiction Posture Score

Per-dimension posture values are not yet published for this jurisdiction.

Infrastructure Map

Faraday's Read

Duval County, Texas currently carries a Leading posture tier with a composite score of 87.5, placing it among the stronger-scoring jurisdictions in the dataset, though the underlying dimensional breakdown is not itemized here. The attribute evidence base is broadest in environmental, water, network, and power categories, each drawing on sourced-confidence data (best_confidence 0.85), while incentive and regulatory attributes rest on only a single estimated-confidence data point apiece, meaning those areas should be read with caution. Overall evidence quality is rated Moderate and completeness Medium, indicating the record is only partially filled out despite the strong headline score. No known data center facilities are recorded in the jurisdiction, and development density (JDS) is unscored, so the Leading tier reflects posture readiness rather than demonstrated build-out. The forecast direction is listed as stable, but that signal carries no confidence rating, so it should be treated as a placeholder rather than a substantiated trend.

Gilbert Faraday · Jul 16, 2026

Recent Signals

No signal events in the past 30 days for this jurisdiction.

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