JURISDICTION WATCHStrategic Geographic Intelligence
← Boone County|Boyd County →
GlobeUnited StatesStateCountyCity

County · Nebraska

Box Butte County

Mixed50.0— → stableComposite · JPAS66Completeness MediumCounty · Nebraska

Population 10,494 · Census Bureau Vintage-2025 estimate

Last scored Jul 13, 2026 · Data may be stale

Composite · JPAS tier readings

Power

Power72sourced

Power reads 72 of 100, sourced evidence. Power measures grid capacity, interconnection-queue depth, generation mix, retail price and substation density. Interconnection-queue depth is an estimated roll-up (EST); queue vintage PJM 2026-04-28, CAISO 2025-02-12.

Politics

Regulatory100sourced

Regulatory reads 100 of 100, sourced evidence. Regulatory measures air-quality designation under the Clean Air Act and commercial permitting activity. Regulatory is evidenced by air-quality designation and permitting activity; a county absent from EPA's nonattainment list reads as attainment. Attainment here is by absence of an EPA designation; EPA's county list is complete, so absence reads as attainment.

Community38sourced

Community reads 38 of 100, sourced evidence. Community measures enacted moratoria, pending legislation and farmland share as signals of local consent.

Incentives25estimated

Incentives reads 25 of 100, estimated evidence. Incentives measures state program baselines and disclosed awards for data-center and industrial projects.

Resources

Water47sourced

Water reads 47 of 100, sourced evidence. Water measures drinking-water system health, basin stress, streamflow and groundwater conditions.

Real estate / site91sourced

Real estate / site reads 91 of 100, sourced evidence. Real estate / site measures developable land share, convertible sites, substation hosting and permit velocity.

Environmental71sourced

Environmental reads 71 of 100, sourced evidence. Environmental measures FEMA hazard risk across riverine, coastal, wind, wildfire and related perils.

Labor71sourced

Labor reads 71 of 100, sourced evidence. Labor measures electrician depth, wages, unemployment and prevailing-wage floors in the county labor market.

Connectivity

Connectivity is not yet activated as a brief section; the Network tier reading is shown.

Network88sourced

Network reads 88 of 100, sourced evidence. Network measures broadband availability, fiber and middle-mile programs, and exchange-point proximity.

Density · JDS

Density · Minimal · 8 of 100

Data-center density is absent in this county (JDS Minimal, 8 of 100). County grain: computed from facilities, construction and permitted projects resolved to this county.

Trajectory · JTS

  • ModeledJTS-01 Trajectory rate of change — falling — Modeled — covers 2026 Posture-series attributes were computed over an eight-week window that spans Faraday methodology changes; they partly measure recompute churn, not jurisdiction behaviour.
  • SpeculativeJTS-02 Inflection points — falling — Speculative — covers 2026 Posture-series attributes were computed over an eight-week window that spans Faraday methodology changes; they partly measure recompute churn, not jurisdiction behaviour.
  • ModeledJTS-03 Trajectory volatility — falling — Modeled — covers 2026 Posture-series attributes were computed over an eight-week window that spans Faraday methodology changes; they partly measure recompute churn, not jurisdiction behaviour.
  • SpeculativeJTS-04 Momentum — falling — Speculative — covers 2026 Posture-series attributes were computed over an eight-week window that spans Faraday methodology changes; they partly measure recompute churn, not jurisdiction behaviour.
  • SpeculativeJTS-05 Forecast confidence decay — falling — Speculative — covers 2026 Posture-series attributes were computed over an eight-week window that spans Faraday methodology changes; they partly measure recompute churn, not jurisdiction behaviour.

Windows held: 2026. Direction and evidence label only; horizons extend only as data lands.

Water & Cooling Readiness

Water System Capacity & Utilization3.0/5 · DirectSRC
Water Service Provider Coverage & Type—DirectSRC
Basin Water Stress Index1/5 · Severe stressNo dataINF
Regulatory Compliance & Violation History5/5 · Very favorableDirectSRC
Reclaimed / Non-Potable Water Availability—No dataSRC
Streamflow Condition & Trend3/5 · NormalState-inheritedEST

Water posture inferred from statewide data; no jurisdiction-level water measurement is available.

Gauge data courtesy of the U.S. Geological Survey

Local Moratorium Activity

1 data-center moratorium instrument tracked · 1 currently in force · community-opposition signal: current (inferred)

Activene-box-butte-county-2026

Data: Moratorium Nation (mjbommar) — CC-BY-4.0

How Box Butte County leans — five dimensions, one composite

JPS Score Breakdown · Jurisdiction Posture Score

Per-dimension posture values are not yet published for this jurisdiction.

Infrastructure Map

Faraday's Read

Box Butte County currently sits in a Mixed posture tier with a composite score of 50, though this reflects a recent scale migration rather than a substantive change in underlying conditions. The attribute evidence base is moderately developed, with a "Good" quality rating of 71.67 but only "Medium" completeness at 52.33, meaning the record covers a fair number of categories without yet being comprehensive. Environmental, labor, network, power, and water attributes each carry sourced-level confidence (0.85), giving reasonable grounding to those categories, while the incentives (INC) and regulatory (REG) categories rest on single attributes at only estimated confidence (0.3), so those areas remain thin and should be treated cautiously. There is no data center development density score on record, no known facilities or operational capacity in the jurisdiction, and no recent signals to indicate momentum in either direction. The posture forecast direction is listed as stable, but with unscored confidence, so this outlook itself should be read as tentative rather than a firm projection.

Gilbert Faraday · Jul 27, 2026

Recent Signals

No signal events in the past 30 days for this jurisdiction.

← Boone County← Back to the live mapBoyd County →