JURISDICTION WATCHStrategic Geographic Intelligence
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County · Montana

Silver Bow County

Favorable70.0— → stableComposite · JPAS63Completeness MediumCounty · Montana

Population 36,118 · Census Bureau Vintage-2025 estimate

Last scored Jul 13, 2026 · Data may be stale

Composite · JPAS tier readings

Power

Power65sourced

Power reads 65 of 100, sourced evidence. Power measures grid capacity, interconnection-queue depth, generation mix, retail price and substation density. Interconnection-queue depth is an estimated roll-up (EST); queue vintage PJM 2026-04-28, CAISO 2025-02-12.

Politics

Regulatory71sourced

Regulatory reads 71 of 100, sourced evidence. Regulatory measures air-quality designation under the Clean Air Act and commercial permitting activity. Regulatory is evidenced by air-quality designation and permitting activity; a county absent from EPA's nonattainment list reads as attainment.

Community64sourced

Community reads 64 of 100, sourced evidence. Community measures enacted moratoria, pending legislation and farmland share as signals of local consent.

Incentives25estimated

Incentives reads 25 of 100, estimated evidence. Incentives measures state program baselines and disclosed awards for data-center and industrial projects.

Resources

Water54sourced

Water reads 54 of 100, sourced evidence. Water measures drinking-water system health, basin stress, streamflow and groundwater conditions.

Real estate / site54sourced

Real estate / site reads 54 of 100, sourced evidence. Real estate / site measures developable land share, convertible sites, substation hosting and permit velocity.

Environmental57sourced

Environmental reads 57 of 100, sourced evidence. Environmental measures FEMA hazard risk across riverine, coastal, wind, wildfire and related perils.

Labor67sourced

Labor reads 67 of 100, sourced evidence. Labor measures electrician depth, wages, unemployment and prevailing-wage floors in the county labor market.

Connectivity

Connectivity is not yet activated as a brief section; the Network tier reading is shown.

Network83sourced

Network reads 83 of 100, sourced evidence. Network measures broadband availability, fiber and middle-mile programs, and exchange-point proximity.

Density · JDS

Density · Minimal · 9 of 100

Data-center density is absent in this county (JDS Minimal, 9 of 100). County grain: computed from facilities, construction and permitted projects resolved to this county.

Trajectory · JTS

  • ModeledJTS-01 Trajectory rate of change — rising — Modeled — covers 2026 Posture-series attributes were computed over an eight-week window that spans Faraday methodology changes; they partly measure recompute churn, not jurisdiction behaviour.
  • SpeculativeJTS-02 Inflection points — rising — Speculative — covers 2026 Posture-series attributes were computed over an eight-week window that spans Faraday methodology changes; they partly measure recompute churn, not jurisdiction behaviour.
  • ModeledJTS-03 Trajectory volatility — rising — Modeled — covers 2026 Posture-series attributes were computed over an eight-week window that spans Faraday methodology changes; they partly measure recompute churn, not jurisdiction behaviour.
  • SpeculativeJTS-04 Momentum — falling — Speculative — covers 2026 Posture-series attributes were computed over an eight-week window that spans Faraday methodology changes; they partly measure recompute churn, not jurisdiction behaviour.
  • SpeculativeJTS-05 Forecast confidence decay — rising — Speculative — covers 2026 Posture-series attributes were computed over an eight-week window that spans Faraday methodology changes; they partly measure recompute churn, not jurisdiction behaviour.

Windows held: 2026. Direction and evidence label only; horizons extend only as data lands.

Commercial Permit Activity

2025
2 · 0 >10k

2 permits in this jurisdiction · 0 over 10,000 sq ft

Commercial · electrical · new-construction permits filed 2024+ (Shovels.ai)

Water & Cooling Readiness

Water System Capacity & Utilization4.0/5 · DirectSRC
Water Service Provider Coverage & Type—DirectSRC
Basin Water Stress Index2/5 · Elevated stressNo dataINF
Regulatory Compliance & Violation History5/5 · Very favorableDirectSRC
Reclaimed / Non-Potable Water Availability—No dataSRC
Streamflow Condition & Trend2/5 · Elevated stressAdjacent-inferredINF
Groundwater Drawdown Trend2/5 · Elevated stressState-inheritedEST

Water posture inferred from nearby jurisdictions' measurements.

Water posture inferred from statewide data; no jurisdiction-level water measurement is available.

Gauge data courtesy of the U.S. Geological Survey

Local Moratorium Activity

1 data-center moratorium instrument tracked · 0 currently in force · community-opposition signal: lapsed (inferred)

Pendingmt-butte-silver-bow-undated

Data: Moratorium Nation (mjbommar) — CC-BY-4.0

How Silver Bow County leans — five dimensions, one composite

JPS Score Breakdown · Jurisdiction Posture Score

Per-dimension posture values are not yet published for this jurisdiction.

Infrastructure Map

Faraday's Read

Silver Bow County currently carries a Favorable jurisdiction posture score of 70, though this figure reflects a recent scale migration rather than fresh underlying analysis, and no jurisdiction development density score is available to contextualize actual buildout activity. The attribute evidence base is moderate in quality (57.8) and medium in completeness (62.83), with environmental, labor, network, power, regulatory, and water categories all showing sourced-level confidence (0.85) across a reasonable number of attributes, suggesting the underlying data on these dimensions is reasonably credible even if not fully verified. The incentives category, by contrast, rests on a single estimated attribute (confidence 0.3), so any read on incentive competitiveness here should be treated as thin and speculative rather than established. The posture forecast direction is listed as stable, but its confidence is unscored, meaning this outlook should not be read as a confident signal either way. No data center facilities are currently recorded in the jurisdiction, and with no recent signals logged, the overall picture is one of a moderately favorable but still evolving and incompletely documented posture.

Gilbert Faraday · Jul 17, 2026

Recent Signals

No signal events in the past 30 days for this jurisdiction.

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