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County · Minnesota

Sherburne County

Cautious35.0— → stableComposite · JPAS59Completeness MediumCounty · Minnesota

Population 104,194 · Census Bureau Vintage-2025 estimate

Last scored Jul 13, 2026 · Data may be stale

Composite · JPAS tier readings

Power

Power55sourced

Power reads 55 of 100, sourced evidence. Power measures grid capacity, interconnection-queue depth, generation mix, retail price and substation density. Interconnection-queue depth is an estimated roll-up (EST); queue vintage PJM 2026-04-28, CAISO 2025-02-12.

Politics

Regulatory85sourced

Regulatory reads 85 of 100, sourced evidence. Regulatory measures air-quality designation under the Clean Air Act and commercial permitting activity. Regulatory is evidenced by air-quality designation and permitting activity; a county absent from EPA's nonattainment list reads as attainment. Attainment here is by absence of an EPA designation; EPA's county list is complete, so absence reads as attainment.

Community39sourced

Community reads 39 of 100, sourced evidence. Community measures enacted moratoria, pending legislation and farmland share as signals of local consent.

Incentives100estimated

Incentives reads 100 of 100, estimated evidence. Incentives measures state program baselines and disclosed awards for data-center and industrial projects.

Resources

Water44sourced

Water reads 44 of 100, sourced evidence. Water measures drinking-water system health, basin stress, streamflow and groundwater conditions.

Real estate / site33sourced

Real estate / site reads 33 of 100, sourced evidence. Real estate / site measures developable land share, convertible sites, substation hosting and permit velocity.

Environmental56sourced

Environmental reads 56 of 100, sourced evidence. Environmental measures FEMA hazard risk across riverine, coastal, wind, wildfire and related perils.

Labor73sourced

Labor reads 73 of 100, sourced evidence. Labor measures electrician depth, wages, unemployment and prevailing-wage floors in the county labor market.

Connectivity

Connectivity is not yet activated as a brief section; the Network tier reading is shown.

Network91sourced

Network reads 91 of 100, sourced evidence. Network measures broadband availability, fiber and middle-mile programs, and exchange-point proximity.

Density · JDS

Density · Emerging · 26 of 100

Data-center density is emerging in this county (JDS Emerging, 26 of 100). County grain: computed from facilities, construction and permitted projects resolved to this county.

Trajectory · JTS

  • ModeledJTS-01 Trajectory rate of change — rising — Modeled — covers 2026 Posture-series attributes were computed over an eight-week window that spans Faraday methodology changes; they partly measure recompute churn, not jurisdiction behaviour.
  • SpeculativeJTS-02 Inflection points — rising — Speculative — covers 2026 Posture-series attributes were computed over an eight-week window that spans Faraday methodology changes; they partly measure recompute churn, not jurisdiction behaviour.
  • ModeledJTS-03 Trajectory volatility — rising — Modeled — covers 2026 Posture-series attributes were computed over an eight-week window that spans Faraday methodology changes; they partly measure recompute churn, not jurisdiction behaviour.
  • SpeculativeJTS-04 Momentum — falling — Speculative — covers 2026 Posture-series attributes were computed over an eight-week window that spans Faraday methodology changes; they partly measure recompute churn, not jurisdiction behaviour.
  • SpeculativeJTS-05 Forecast confidence decay — rising — Speculative — covers 2026 Posture-series attributes were computed over an eight-week window that spans Faraday methodology changes; they partly measure recompute churn, not jurisdiction behaviour.
  • ModeledJTS-07 Utility capital investment trend — rising — Modeled — covers 2020–2025

Windows held: 2026 · 2020–2025. Direction and evidence label only; horizons extend only as data lands.

Commercial Permit Activity

2024
3 · 0 >10k
2025
2 · 0 >10k

5 permits in this jurisdiction · 0 over 10,000 sq ft

Commercial · electrical · new-construction permits filed 2024+ (Shovels.ai)

Water & Cooling Readiness

Water System Capacity & Utilization4.0/5 · DirectSRC
Water Service Provider Coverage & Type—DirectSRC
Basin Water Stress Index1/5 · Severe stressNo dataINF
Regulatory Compliance & Violation History5/5 · Very favorableDirectSRC
Streamflow Condition & Trend2/5 · Elevated stressState-inheritedEST
Groundwater Drawdown Trend1/5 · Severe stressDirectSRC

Water posture inferred from statewide data; no jurisdiction-level water measurement is available.

Gauge data courtesy of the U.S. Geological Survey

Local Moratorium Activity

1 data-center moratorium instrument tracked across municipalities in this county · 1 currently in force

Elk River

Data: Moratorium Nation (mjbommar) — CC-BY-4.0

How Sherburne County leans — five dimensions, one composite

JPS Score Breakdown · Jurisdiction Posture Score

Per-dimension posture values are not yet published for this jurisdiction.

Infrastructure Map

Faraday's Read

Sherburne County currently sits in the Cautious tier with a posture score of 35, reflecting a still-developing overall readiness profile for AI data center development. The attribute evidence base is moderate in quality and medium in completeness, with the environmental, labor, network, power, regulatory, and water categories all showing sourced-level confidence across a reasonable spread of attributes, while incentives data remains thin, resting on a single estimated-confidence attribute. No data center facilities are currently recorded in the jurisdiction, and there is no development density score available, suggesting the record on built or operating capacity is essentially unknown. The posture forecast points to a stable direction over the next six months, though this forecast itself carries no confidence rating, so it should be read as a tentative baseline rather than a firm projection.

Gilbert Faraday · Jul 17, 2026

Recent Signals

No signal events in the past 30 days for this jurisdiction.

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