JURISDICTION WATCHStrategic Geographic Intelligence
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County · Illinois

Madison County

Mixed45.0— → stableComposite · JPAS60Completeness MediumCounty · Illinois

Population 263,110 · Census Bureau Vintage-2025 estimate

Last scored Jul 13, 2026 · Data may be stale

Composite · JPAS tier readings

Power

Power68sourced

Power reads 68 of 100, sourced evidence. Power measures grid capacity, interconnection-queue depth, generation mix, retail price and substation density. Interconnection-queue depth is an estimated roll-up (EST); queue vintage PJM 2026-04-28, CAISO 2025-02-12.

Politics

Regulatory59sourced

Regulatory reads 59 of 100, sourced evidence. Regulatory measures air-quality designation under the Clean Air Act and commercial permitting activity. Regulatory is evidenced by air-quality designation and permitting activity; a county absent from EPA's nonattainment list reads as attainment.

Community34sourced

Community reads 34 of 100, sourced evidence. Community measures enacted moratoria, pending legislation and farmland share as signals of local consent.

Incentives100estimated

Incentives reads 100 of 100, estimated evidence. Incentives measures state program baselines and disclosed awards for data-center and industrial projects.

Resources

Water69sourced

Water reads 69 of 100, sourced evidence. Water measures drinking-water system health, basin stress, streamflow and groundwater conditions.

Real estate / site57sourced

Real estate / site reads 57 of 100, sourced evidence. Real estate / site measures developable land share, convertible sites, substation hosting and permit velocity.

Environmental31sourced

Environmental reads 31 of 100, sourced evidence. Environmental measures FEMA hazard risk across riverine, coastal, wind, wildfire and related perils.

Labor73sourced

Labor reads 73 of 100, sourced evidence. Labor measures electrician depth, wages, unemployment and prevailing-wage floors in the county labor market.

Connectivity

Connectivity is not yet activated as a brief section; the Network tier reading is shown.

Network89sourced

Network reads 89 of 100, sourced evidence. Network measures broadband availability, fiber and middle-mile programs, and exchange-point proximity.

Density · JDS

Density · Minimal · 15 of 100

Data-center density is absent in this county (JDS Minimal, 15 of 100). County grain: computed from facilities, construction and permitted projects resolved to this county.

Trajectory · JTS

  • ModeledJTS-01 Trajectory rate of change — falling — Modeled — covers 2026 Posture-series attributes were computed over an eight-week window that spans Faraday methodology changes; they partly measure recompute churn, not jurisdiction behaviour.
  • SpeculativeJTS-02 Inflection points — falling — Speculative — covers 2026 Posture-series attributes were computed over an eight-week window that spans Faraday methodology changes; they partly measure recompute churn, not jurisdiction behaviour.
  • ModeledJTS-03 Trajectory volatility — falling — Modeled — covers 2026 Posture-series attributes were computed over an eight-week window that spans Faraday methodology changes; they partly measure recompute churn, not jurisdiction behaviour.
  • SpeculativeJTS-04 Momentum — rising — Speculative — covers 2026 Posture-series attributes were computed over an eight-week window that spans Faraday methodology changes; they partly measure recompute churn, not jurisdiction behaviour.
  • SpeculativeJTS-05 Forecast confidence decay — falling — Speculative — covers 2026 Posture-series attributes were computed over an eight-week window that spans Faraday methodology changes; they partly measure recompute churn, not jurisdiction behaviour.
  • ModeledJTS-06 Substation & transmission build trajectory — flat — Modeled — covers 2026
  • ModeledJTS-07 Utility capital investment trend — rising — Modeled — covers 2020–2025

Windows held: 2026 · 2020–2025. Direction and evidence label only; horizons extend only as data lands.

Water & Cooling Readiness

Water System Capacity & Utilization4.0/5 · DirectSRC
Water Service Provider Coverage & Type—DirectSRC
Basin Water Stress Index3/5 · NormalNo dataINF
Regulatory Compliance & Violation History5/5 · Very favorableDirectSRC
Streamflow Condition & Trend3/5 · NormalState-inheritedEST
Groundwater Drawdown Trend4/5 · FavorableAdjacent-inferredINF

Water posture inferred from statewide data; no jurisdiction-level water measurement is available.

Water posture inferred from nearby jurisdictions' measurements.

Gauge data courtesy of the U.S. Geological Survey

Local Moratorium Activity

3 data-center moratorium instruments tracked across municipalities in this county · 3 currently in force

City of Collinsville · City of Troy · Village of Godfrey

Data: Moratorium Nation (mjbommar) — CC-BY-4.0

How Madison County leans — five dimensions, one composite

JPS Score Breakdown · Jurisdiction Posture Score

Per-dimension posture values are not yet published for this jurisdiction.

Infrastructure Map

Faraday's Read

Madison County, Illinois currently sits in a Mixed posture tier with a composite score of 45, a rating carried over from a July 2026 scale migration rather than any substantive change in underlying conditions. The attribute evidence base is moderate in quality (64.36) and medium in completeness (62.83), with environmental, power, water, and network attributes each represented by six or more sourced data points at 0.85 confidence, suggesting a reasonably well-documented picture in those categories. Labor attributes are also sourced but thinner, with only three attributes recorded, while incentive and regulatory data are notably sparse—incentives rest on a single estimated attribute at low confidence, meaning the county's incentive posture remains largely unverified. No facilities are on record, and development density (jds) is unscored, so the data offers no basis for assessing actual data center buildout or momentum. The forecast direction is listed as stable, though it carries no confidence label, so this should be read as a placeholder rather than a firm signal about the county's trajectory.

Gilbert Faraday · Aug 4, 2026

Recent Signals

No signal events in the past 30 days for this jurisdiction.

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