JURISDICTION WATCHStrategic Geographic Intelligence
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County · Illinois

Lawrence County

Mixed45.0— → stableComposite · JPAS65Completeness MediumCounty · Illinois

Population 13,790 · Census Bureau Vintage-2025 estimate

Last scored Jul 13, 2026 · Data may be stale

Composite · JPAS tier readings

Power

Power73sourced

Power reads 73 of 100, sourced evidence. Power measures grid capacity, interconnection-queue depth, generation mix, retail price and substation density. Interconnection-queue depth is an estimated roll-up (EST); queue vintage PJM 2026-04-28, CAISO 2025-02-12.

Politics

Regulatory100sourced

Regulatory reads 100 of 100, sourced evidence. Regulatory measures air-quality designation under the Clean Air Act and commercial permitting activity. Regulatory is evidenced by air-quality designation and permitting activity; a county absent from EPA's nonattainment list reads as attainment. Attainment here is by absence of an EPA designation; EPA's county list is complete, so absence reads as attainment.

Community26sourced

Community reads 26 of 100, sourced evidence. Community measures enacted moratoria, pending legislation and farmland share as signals of local consent.

Incentives100estimated

Incentives reads 100 of 100, estimated evidence. Incentives measures state program baselines and disclosed awards for data-center and industrial projects.

Resources

Water68sourced

Water reads 68 of 100, sourced evidence. Water measures drinking-water system health, basin stress, streamflow and groundwater conditions.

Real estate / site55sourced

Real estate / site reads 55 of 100, sourced evidence. Real estate / site measures developable land share, convertible sites, substation hosting and permit velocity.

Environmental49sourced

Environmental reads 49 of 100, sourced evidence. Environmental measures FEMA hazard risk across riverine, coastal, wind, wildfire and related perils.

Labor60sourced

Labor reads 60 of 100, sourced evidence. Labor measures electrician depth, wages, unemployment and prevailing-wage floors in the county labor market.

Connectivity

Connectivity is not yet activated as a brief section; the Network tier reading is shown.

Network89sourced

Network reads 89 of 100, sourced evidence. Network measures broadband availability, fiber and middle-mile programs, and exchange-point proximity.

Density · JDS

Density · None · 4 of 100

Data-center density is absent in this county (JDS None, 4 of 100). County grain: computed from facilities, construction and permitted projects resolved to this county.

Trajectory · JTS

  • ModeledJTS-01 Trajectory rate of change — falling — Modeled — covers 2026 Posture-series attributes were computed over an eight-week window that spans Faraday methodology changes; they partly measure recompute churn, not jurisdiction behaviour.
  • SpeculativeJTS-02 Inflection points — falling — Speculative — covers 2026 Posture-series attributes were computed over an eight-week window that spans Faraday methodology changes; they partly measure recompute churn, not jurisdiction behaviour.
  • ModeledJTS-03 Trajectory volatility — falling — Modeled — covers 2026 Posture-series attributes were computed over an eight-week window that spans Faraday methodology changes; they partly measure recompute churn, not jurisdiction behaviour.
  • SpeculativeJTS-04 Momentum — rising — Speculative — covers 2026 Posture-series attributes were computed over an eight-week window that spans Faraday methodology changes; they partly measure recompute churn, not jurisdiction behaviour.
  • SpeculativeJTS-05 Forecast confidence decay — falling — Speculative — covers 2026 Posture-series attributes were computed over an eight-week window that spans Faraday methodology changes; they partly measure recompute churn, not jurisdiction behaviour.
  • ModeledJTS-07 Utility capital investment trend — rising — Modeled — covers 2020–2025

Windows held: 2026 · 2020–2025. Direction and evidence label only; horizons extend only as data lands.

Water & Cooling Readiness

Water System Capacity & Utilization3.0/5 · DirectSRC
Water Service Provider Coverage & Type—DirectSRC
Basin Water Stress Index4/5 · FavorableNo dataINF
Regulatory Compliance & Violation History5/5 · Very favorableDirectSRC
Streamflow Condition & Trend3/5 · NormalState-inheritedEST
Groundwater Drawdown Trend4/5 · FavorableState-inheritedEST

Water posture inferred from statewide data; no jurisdiction-level water measurement is available.

Gauge data courtesy of the U.S. Geological Survey

Local Moratorium Activity

1 data-center moratorium instrument tracked · 1 currently in force · community-opposition signal: current (inferred)

Activeil-lawrence-county-2026 · enacted 2026-09-17

Data: Moratorium Nation (mjbommar) — CC-BY-4.0

How Lawrence County leans — five dimensions, one composite

JPS Score Breakdown · Jurisdiction Posture Score

Per-dimension posture values are not yet published for this jurisdiction.

Infrastructure Map

Faraday's Read

Lawrence County, Illinois currently carries a Mixed posture tier with a composite score of 45, placing it in the middle of the readiness spectrum without standing out in either direction. The underlying attribute evidence shows reasonably broad coverage across environmental, water, power, network, and labor categories, most of it sourced with a best confidence of 0.85, while incentive and regulatory attributes rest on much thinner, estimated data. Overall evidence quality is rated Good, but completeness is only Medium, meaning the record captures a decent read on site suitability while still leaving meaningful gaps in the evidence base. No data center facilities are currently on record for the jurisdiction, and the development density score is unscored, so there is no track record yet to weigh alongside the posture data. The forecast direction is listed as stable, though this comes with no confidence rating attached, so it should be read as a tentative signal rather than a firm outlook.

Gilbert Faraday · Jul 27, 2026

Recent Signals

No signal events in the past 30 days for this jurisdiction.

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