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County · Illinois

Coles County

Mixed45.0— → stableComposite · JPAS67Completeness MediumCounty · Illinois

Population 46,607 · Census Bureau Vintage-2025 estimate

Last scored Jul 13, 2026 · Data may be stale

Composite · JPAS tier readings

Power

Power84sourced

Power reads 84 of 100, sourced evidence. Power measures grid capacity, interconnection-queue depth, generation mix, retail price and substation density. Interconnection-queue depth is an estimated roll-up (EST); queue vintage PJM 2026-04-28, CAISO 2025-02-12.

Politics

Regulatory100sourced

Regulatory reads 100 of 100, sourced evidence. Regulatory measures air-quality designation under the Clean Air Act and commercial permitting activity. Regulatory is evidenced by air-quality designation and permitting activity; a county absent from EPA's nonattainment list reads as attainment. Attainment here is by absence of an EPA designation; EPA's county list is complete, so absence reads as attainment.

Community25sourced

Community reads 25 of 100, sourced evidence. Community measures enacted moratoria, pending legislation and farmland share as signals of local consent.

Incentives100estimated

Incentives reads 100 of 100, estimated evidence. Incentives measures state program baselines and disclosed awards for data-center and industrial projects.

Resources

Water68sourced

Water reads 68 of 100, sourced evidence. Water measures drinking-water system health, basin stress, streamflow and groundwater conditions.

Real estate / site52sourced

Real estate / site reads 52 of 100, sourced evidence. Real estate / site measures developable land share, convertible sites, substation hosting and permit velocity.

Environmental43sourced

Environmental reads 43 of 100, sourced evidence. Environmental measures FEMA hazard risk across riverine, coastal, wind, wildfire and related perils.

Labor70sourced

Labor reads 70 of 100, sourced evidence. Labor measures electrician depth, wages, unemployment and prevailing-wage floors in the county labor market.

Connectivity

Connectivity is not yet activated as a brief section; the Network tier reading is shown.

Network90sourced

Network reads 90 of 100, sourced evidence. Network measures broadband availability, fiber and middle-mile programs, and exchange-point proximity.

Density · JDS

Density · Minimal · 16 of 100

Data-center density is absent in this county (JDS Minimal, 16 of 100). County grain: computed from facilities, construction and permitted projects resolved to this county.

Trajectory · JTS

  • ModeledJTS-01 Trajectory rate of change — falling — Modeled — covers 2026 Posture-series attributes were computed over an eight-week window that spans Faraday methodology changes; they partly measure recompute churn, not jurisdiction behaviour.
  • SpeculativeJTS-02 Inflection points — falling — Speculative — covers 2026 Posture-series attributes were computed over an eight-week window that spans Faraday methodology changes; they partly measure recompute churn, not jurisdiction behaviour.
  • ModeledJTS-03 Trajectory volatility — falling — Modeled — covers 2026 Posture-series attributes were computed over an eight-week window that spans Faraday methodology changes; they partly measure recompute churn, not jurisdiction behaviour.
  • SpeculativeJTS-04 Momentum — flat — Speculative — covers 2026 Posture-series attributes were computed over an eight-week window that spans Faraday methodology changes; they partly measure recompute churn, not jurisdiction behaviour.
  • SpeculativeJTS-05 Forecast confidence decay — falling — Speculative — covers 2026 Posture-series attributes were computed over an eight-week window that spans Faraday methodology changes; they partly measure recompute churn, not jurisdiction behaviour.
  • ModeledJTS-06 Substation & transmission build trajectory — flat — Modeled — covers 2026
  • ModeledJTS-07 Utility capital investment trend — rising — Modeled — covers 2020–2025

Windows held: 2026 · 2020–2025. Direction and evidence label only; horizons extend only as data lands.

Water & Cooling Readiness

Water System Capacity & Utilization4.0/5 · DirectSRC
Water Service Provider Coverage & Type—DirectSRC
Basin Water Stress Index3/5 · NormalNo dataINF
Regulatory Compliance & Violation History5/5 · Very favorableDirectSRC
Streamflow Condition & Trend3/5 · NormalState-inheritedEST
Groundwater Drawdown Trend4/5 · FavorableState-inheritedEST

Water posture inferred from statewide data; no jurisdiction-level water measurement is available.

Gauge data courtesy of the U.S. Geological Survey

Local Moratorium Activity

1 data-center moratorium instrument tracked across municipalities in this county · 1 currently in force

Mattoon

Data: Moratorium Nation (mjbommar) — CC-BY-4.0

How Coles County leans — five dimensions, one composite

JPS Score Breakdown · Jurisdiction Posture Score

Per-dimension posture values are not yet published for this jurisdiction.

Infrastructure Map

Faraday's Read

Coles County currently sits in a Mixed posture tier with a composite score of 45, though the dimensional breakdown behind that score is not available in the data. The attribute evidence base is rated Good on quality (75.49) with Medium completeness (60), and most of the underlying category attributes—covering environmental, labor, network, power, and water factors—carry sourced confidence, suggesting a reasonably solid factual foundation in those areas. Incentives and regulatory attributes, by contrast, are backed by only a single estimated-confidence data point each, so those aspects of the jurisdiction's readiness remain thin and should be treated as low-confidence. No data center facilities are currently recorded in the county, and development density is unscored. The forecast direction is listed as stable, though this comes with unscored confidence, so it should be read as a tentative signal rather than a firm outlook.

Gilbert Faraday · Jul 16, 2026

Recent Signals

No signal events in the past 30 days for this jurisdiction.

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